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Red65
44753.1
518836.6
427217.3
Blue165
46152.8
7151.4
220237.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58135010020030040065165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#10
53.10.4
36.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
461
#7
52.83.5
37.541.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5188
#18
36.60.4
17.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
71
#6
51.43.5
49.252.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4272
#32
17.30.4
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
37.63.5
36.139.7
Auto
Teleop
End