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Red56
101440.0
355916.2
408545.2
Blue108
326641.3
102468.7
12827.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72142010020030040050056108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#15
45.22.2
37.134.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
68.71.4
50.248.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
#28
40.02.2
28.426.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3266
#21
41.31.9
46.744.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3559
#31
16.22.2
17.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
128
#30
27.21.9
34.032.1
Auto
Teleop
End