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Red128
220237.6
233844.4
430633.1
Blue100
219929.0
217120.5
46152.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82101050150200250300128100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#11
44.43.6
29.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
461
#7
52.80.2
41.041.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.63.6
39.743.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2199
#43
29.00.2
36.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4306
#23
33.13.6
15.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2171
#44
20.50.2
20.020.2
Auto
Teleop
End