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Red42
110861.8
103839.8
301029.7
Blue175
408545.2
12827.2
394020.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14383020030040042175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.87.6
51.543.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
4085
#15
45.26.9
34.941.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
#27
39.87.6
44.536.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
128
#30
27.26.9
32.138.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3010
#29
29.77.6
37.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
3940
#40
20.36.9
25.632.5
Auto
Teleop
End