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Red122
233844.4
225248.2
102468.7
Blue110
103839.8
29116.1
235846.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186790100300400122110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.72.4
71.068.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2358
#35
46.21.1
42.643.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.23.4
55.251.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1038
#27
39.81.1
34.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2338
#11
44.43.4
42.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
291
#34
16.11.1
18.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End