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Red127
101826.3
219929.0
469035.6
Blue22
400816.6
236015.0
428314.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10048015020025012722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4690
#19
35.62.5
34.937.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
4008
#39
16.62.4
19.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#43
29.02.5
33.736.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
2360
#42
15.02.4
19.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
#24
26.32.5
23.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
4283
#36
14.12.4
16.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End