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Red63
482418.8
454519.4
330135.8
Blue37
290921.8
86870.9
42346.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609501502006337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3301
#26
35.80.2
27.327.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.2
868
#9
70.92.6
68.165.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4545
#33
19.40.2
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2909
#17
21.84.4
7.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4824
#34
18.80.2
23.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
4234
#30
6.14.4
14.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End