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Red100
101829.1
421344.8
29247.9
Blue77
15293.4
394750.8
82956.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968905015020025010077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#22
47.90.2
41.041.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
829
#11
56.70.7
50.549.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.80.2
29.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3947
#12
50.81.1
35.234.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
#20
29.10.2
24.725.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.7
1529
#40
3.41.1
4.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End