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Red160
38659.1
348733.5
4555.1
Blue46
482418.8
164621.6
421344.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759105015020025016046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#10
55.14.1
50.955.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
44.82.1
46.144.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3487
#27
33.54.6
25.329.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
1646
#36
21.62.4
23.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3865
#32
9.15.1
1.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
4824
#34
18.82.6
18.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End