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Red130
174755.7
421127.7
427229.7
Blue121
295969.4
330135.8
501033.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103145050200250300130121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.0
55.256.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
2959
#18
69.40.9
66.765.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4272
#25
29.71.0
27.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3301
#26
35.81.0
36.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4211
#14
27.71.1
26.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
5010
#21
33.71.0
35.134.2
Auto
Teleop
End