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Red216
35990.5
5158.7
131056.4
Blue208
1687.2
180651.0
62480.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042370100300400500600216208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
Unranked
90.50.4
92.592.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
16
Unranked
87.21.2
90.489.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51
Unranked
58.70.4
59.159.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
624
Unranked
80.01.2
84.483.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1310
Unranked
56.40.4
57.257.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1806
Unranked
51.01.2
57.556.3
Auto
Teleop
End