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Red311
248162.9
164064.3
86868.8
Blue171
147761.1
110846.9
162586.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732130100300400500311171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
68.86.6
64.070.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
1625
Unranked
86.71.8
91.089.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
Unranked
64.36.6
59.065.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1477
Unranked
61.11.8
64.462.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2481
Unranked
62.96.6
56.362.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
1108
Unranked
46.91.8
51.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End