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Red260
254111.6
2065.0
4552.4
Blue176
34042.3
161970.0
309844.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2391460100200300400260176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
111.61.8
110.3112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.5
1619
Unranked
70.00.8
72.473.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20
Unranked
65.01.8
63.665.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
3098
Unranked
44.40.8
46.247.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
Unranked
52.41.8
50.552.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
340
Unranked
42.30.8
41.742.5
Auto
Teleop
End