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Red205
46996.4
368361.4
246850.6
Blue143
124163.2
292850.4
50343.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171520100300400205143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
96.40.1
96.696.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.3
1241
Unranked
63.20.9
62.661.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3683
Unranked
61.40.1
59.959.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2928
Unranked
50.40.9
55.254.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2468
Unranked
50.60.1
50.850.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
503
Unranked
43.10.9
44.043.1
Auto
Teleop
End