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Red131
464918.3
338818.7
503828.6
Blue86
15807.5
157626.1
470814.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4434020608010012014013186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#20
28.67.3
18.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1576
#43
26.14.2
11.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3388
#23
18.77.3
16.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4708
#26
14.54.2
15.219.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
18.37.3
8.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1580
#52
7.54.2
8.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End