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Red52
303418.3
308317.4
479411.9
Blue81
432038.7
194618.0
51359.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425101001502002503003504005281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#24
18.30.7
19.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
4320
#16
38.72.6
23.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3083
#39
17.40.7
10.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
18.02.6
15.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4794
#44
11.90.7
14.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
5135
#15
9.22.6
10.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End