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Red25
194215.9
30874.4
466114.5
Blue55
433813.1
475718.2
458626.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575702040801001201402555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#33
15.92.6
24.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
4586
#10
26.30.3
19.018.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4661
#29
14.52.6
18.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4757
#37
18.20.3
26.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3087
#53
4.42.6
13.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
4338
#35
13.10.3
13.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End