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Red80
221320.1
383515.1
306522.7
Blue120
267925.3
157626.1
333936.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4858010015020025030080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#46
22.72.6
22.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
3339
#18
36.05.3
27.833.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2213
#45
20.12.6
15.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1576
#43
26.15.3
15.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3835
#36
15.12.6
11.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
25.35.3
12.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End