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Quarterfinal 3-12014 Bayou Regional
Red126
361618.7
393774.1
36475.4
Blue116
219043.1
208021.2
191247.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181100050150200250300350400126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
75.40.9
75.4→74.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.9
1912
#24
47.50.1
47.9→48.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#5
74.10.7
74.1→73.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.0
2190
#10
43.10.1
43.5→43.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3616
#40
18.70.7
18.7→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
2080
#25
21.20.1
21.5→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—