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Semifinal 2-22014 Bayou Regional
Red190
393774.1
361618.7
36475.4
Blue168
173070.7
399120.9
131969.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165160100200250300190168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
75.40.5
74.0→74.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
1730
#3
70.70.1
70.6→70.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#5
74.10.4
72.9→73.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
1319
#4
69.60.1
69.5→69.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3616
#40
18.70.4
17.5→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
3991
#38
20.90.1
20.8→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—