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Red98
218322.2
246868.5
435311.4
Blue6
50557.6
396115.7
504013.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10827050150200250300986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#15
68.50.1
63.463.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 52.8
3961
#28
15.71.7
14.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2183
#18
22.20.2
20.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
5040
#53
13.22.8
17.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#33
11.40.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
5055
#57
7.62.8
7.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End