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Red75
378320.2
516914.1
192743.1
Blue78
299251.7
395931.5
502811.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72742040601001201401607578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1927
#36
43.10.1
29.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
51.70.3
47.848.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3783
#51
20.20.1
24.124.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
31.50.3
16.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5169
#49
14.10.1
19.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
5028
#44
11.40.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End