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Red80
375340.8
410718.7
405315.9
Blue140
297348.3
218322.2
192743.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54105015020025080140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#16
40.81.5
31.633.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
48.32.1
47.849.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4107
#42
18.71.5
18.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.4
1927
#36
43.13.5
29.733.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4053
#19
15.91.5
12.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2183
#18
22.23.5
20.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End