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Qual 402014 Bayou Regional
Red151
431621.5
322711.9
36475.4
Blue96
393774.1
502811.4
504013.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688705010015020015196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
75.46.6
53.6→60.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
3937
#5
74.10.6
56.3→56.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4316
#50
21.56.6
8.5→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
5040
#53
13.21.0
18.5→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3227
#32
11.94.0
9.2→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
5028
#44
11.41.0
9.3→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—