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Red10
502811.4
472112.7
59010.7
Blue140
142160.9
331926.5
405315.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111155010015020025010140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4721
#31
12.71.4
10.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.2
1421
#12
60.92.1
57.759.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5028
#44
11.41.4
7.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
3319
#39
26.53.5
25.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
590
#48
10.71.4
9.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4053
#19
15.93.5
15.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End