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Red45
361618.7
435311.4
297348.3
Blue101
361249.6
322711.9
291820.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798105010015045101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.7
52.550.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
49.61.0
49.950.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3616
#40
18.71.7
11.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2918
#21
20.61.7
17.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#33
11.42.8
15.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3227
#32
11.91.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End