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Red22
378320.2
504013.2
399120.9
Blue74
173070.7
405315.9
94534.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381170501001502002502274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#38
20.91.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 49.8
70.71.7
66.765.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3783
#51
20.21.4
23.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
945
#13
34.21.9
26.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5040
#53
13.21.6
13.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4053
#19
15.92.5
11.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End