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Red14
408713.2
361618.7
218322.2
Blue76
222122.6
59010.7
219043.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32680501001502001476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#18
22.21.9
16.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
2190
#10
43.10.8
32.032.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3616
#40
18.71.2
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2221
#37
22.61.1
16.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4087
#56
13.21.9
13.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
590
#48
10.71.1
13.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End