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Red200
393774.1
375340.8
399120.9
Blue101
396115.7
59010.7
45660.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13379050100150200250300350200101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.13.8
70.474.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
456
#8
60.40.7
62.463.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3753
#16
40.85.0
36.141.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.1
3961
#28
15.70.7
15.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3991
#38
20.93.8
18.121.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
590
#48
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End