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Red150
433617.0
173070.7
192743.1
Blue186
191247.5
219043.1
192028.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124103050150200250150186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.71.5
70.371.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
1912
#24
47.54.0
44.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1927
#36
43.11.9
35.537.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2190
#10
43.14.0
39.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4336
#52
17.01.9
15.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
1920
#23
28.35.3
23.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End