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Red68
222122.6
435311.4
3420.7
Blue43
502811.4
516914.1
181820.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534501001502002503006843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2221
#37
22.61.1
21.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1818
#26
20.10.2
20.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34
#27
20.71.1
19.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
5169
#49
14.10.2
14.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#33
11.41.1
10.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
5028
#44
11.40.2
11.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End