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Red125
176130.6
12657.9
415110.0
Blue132
500026.0
175717.6
24638.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95480150200250125132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
57.91.9
48.049.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
246
#3
38.83.9
28.031.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1761
#18
30.61.9
26.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
5000
#19
26.03.9
17.321.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4151
#36
10.01.9
13.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1757
#28
17.63.9
9.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End