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Red58
226214.4
349926.6
196510.4
Blue105
12574.8
287115.1
492912.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4380010015058105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3499
#25
26.60.5
28.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.2
125
#1
74.81.5
50.251.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2262
#35
14.40.5
10.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2871
#20
15.11.5
10.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
#13
10.40.5
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4929
#38
12.21.5
13.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End