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Red196
115345.1
346775.6
395822.0
Blue95
107337.6
287751.4
147417.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038205015020025030019695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.64.8
58.963.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
51.40.5
37.838.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.14.8
24.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1073
#26
37.60.5
32.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3958
#12
22.04.8
16.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1474
#37
17.80.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End