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Red16
320527.7
271314.0
490837.2
Blue32
431117.5
105833.5
226214.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664401001502002501632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#14
37.22.3
27.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
33.50.8
22.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3205
#33
27.72.3
20.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
4311
#23
17.50.8
13.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2713
#30
14.02.3
14.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2262
#35
14.40.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End