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Red212
91078.3
46993.6
413043.4
Blue211
213764.8
233773.6
2772.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2252080100300400212211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
93.60.2
95.895.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
2337
Unranked
73.60.0
73.673.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
78.30.2
80.580.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
27
Unranked
72.20.0
72.272.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4130
Unranked
43.40.2
45.645.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
2137
Unranked
64.80.0
64.864.8
Auto
Teleop
End