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Red235
91078.3
46993.6
413043.4
Blue251
6776.4
10757.1
7061.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191890100300400500235251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
93.60.3
93.393.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
67
Unranked
76.41.0
76.377.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
78.30.3
77.978.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
70
Unranked
61.01.0
60.961.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4130
Unranked
43.40.3
43.143.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
107
Unranked
57.11.0
56.857.7
Auto
Teleop
End