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Red162
4855.2
91078.3
283427.4
Blue82
332245.3
509023.4
102362.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166140010020030040050016282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
78.30.0
65.665.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1023
Unranked
62.63.1
69.266.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
Unranked
55.20.0
59.059.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
3322
Unranked
45.33.1
47.544.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2834
Unranked
27.40.0
37.437.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
5090
Unranked
23.43.1
27.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End