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Red172
413043.4
360438.2
171871.1
Blue70
170122.3
30247.4
21748.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175142010020030040050017270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
71.10.1
82.782.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
217
Unranked
48.43.8
60.756.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4130
Unranked
43.40.1
46.646.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
302
Unranked
47.43.8
56.152.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3604
Unranked
38.20.1
40.240.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
1701
Unranked
22.33.8
30.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End