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Red112
5156.9
50659.8
233876.3
Blue116
81529.7
125034.2
150427.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175830200300400500112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.32.4
72.069.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 42.1
1250
Unranked
34.20.9
36.437.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51
Unranked
56.92.4
73.871.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.2
815
Unranked
29.70.9
35.636.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5065
Unranked
9.82.4
14.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
1504
Unranked
27.70.9
25.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End