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Red191
505021.0
233773.6
10757.1
Blue151
353832.4
173250.2
167538.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157124050100200250300350400191151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
73.61.9
68.870.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
1732
Unranked
50.21.1
50.851.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
57.11.9
63.465.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
1675
Unranked
38.11.1
45.646.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5050
Unranked
21.01.9
20.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
3538
Unranked
32.41.1
32.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End