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Quarterfinal 4-12014 Chesapeake Regional
Red132
161046.9
494522.5
174153.5
Blue109
284938.5
219936.8
111152.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119134050100150200250300132109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
53.50.2
52.9→53.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
1111
#29
52.30.4
53.6→53.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1610
#3
46.90.2
46.3→46.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
2849
#7
38.50.4
39.8→39.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4945
#18
22.50.2
22.4→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.3
2199
#21
36.80.4
38.1→37.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—