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Quarterfinal 4-22014 Chesapeake Regional
Red107
174153.5
494522.5
161046.9
Blue75
111152.3
284938.5
219936.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013205010015020025010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
53.50.3
53.0→52.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
1111
#29
52.30.9
53.3→52.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1610
#3
46.90.3
46.5→46.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
2849
#7
38.50.9
39.4→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4945
#18
22.50.3
22.6→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.3
2199
#21
36.80.9
37.7→36.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—