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Red158
13353.7
393036.1
352561.3
Blue98
456452.4
264838.1
447326.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110805020025015898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.2
59.259.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
4564
#20
52.40.3
51.751.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
#2
53.70.2
51.551.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
38.10.3
37.437.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3930
#19
36.10.2
33.934.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4473
#23
26.60.3
25.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End