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Red220
393036.1
13353.7
352561.3
Blue173
264838.1
456452.4
447326.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152107050200250220173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.31.2
59.460.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
4564
#20
52.41.0
51.452.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
#2
53.71.2
51.853.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
38.11.0
37.138.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3930
#19
36.11.2
34.235.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4473
#23
26.61.0
25.626.6
Auto
Teleop
End