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Red100
107131.4
512251.4
345152.2
Blue91
526528.4
455545.2
346136.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310105020025010091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.6
52.852.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4555
#30
45.20.3
44.544.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#11
51.40.6
51.951.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
36.60.3
35.435.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
#13
31.40.6
32.031.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
5265
#28
28.40.3
27.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End