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Red138
512251.4
345152.2
107131.4
Blue160
455545.2
346136.6
526528.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141100050200250300138160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.1
52.152.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4555
#30
45.20.9
44.345.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#11
51.40.1
51.351.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
36.60.9
35.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
#13
31.40.1
31.431.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
5265
#28
28.40.9
27.027.9
Auto
Teleop
End