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Red110
490632.3
392715.9
360929.5
Blue32
359720.9
404213.4
234219.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5451020408010012014016011032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#32
32.32.8
24.827.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
3597
#27
20.91.0
21.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3609
#16
29.52.8
16.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
2342
#36
19.81.0
19.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3927
#25
15.92.8
12.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4042
#33
13.41.0
11.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End