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Red165
172117.8
12583.9
492535.3
Blue160
17240.3
455545.2
456452.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221290200300400500165160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
83.92.1
78.680.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.6
4564
#20
52.41.6
57.158.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.32.1
32.634.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
4555
#30
45.21.6
35.136.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1721
#18
17.82.1
11.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.5
172
#15
40.31.6
35.337.0
Auto
Teleop
End