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Red135
352561.3
479317.2
15553.9
Blue106
16638.7
512251.4
404120.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120105050150200250135106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.9
56.457.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
5122
#11
51.40.1
47.147.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
#1
53.90.9
47.848.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
166
#10
38.70.1
34.534.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4793
#38
17.21.4
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4041
#37
20.30.1
25.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End